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NCAAFGame line2nd half spread
UVA 2H -2.5 (2nd half spread)
Won9 of 14last season · 64%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game13 of 21this season and last
Trend score-14.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 50% to break even | 33%–72% | 4 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 50% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 1464%needs 50% to break even | 43%–81% | 15 points betterwon 64%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 13 of 2162%needs 50% to break even | 44%–77% | 12 points betterwon 62%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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UVA 2H -2.5 (2nd half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
2H margin in each game against uva 2h -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  SMU | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  SYR | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  FSU | -21 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  DEL | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  WVU | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 |  NORF | 31 | +28.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  NCSU | 9 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  MIZ | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 |  DUKE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  VT | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | DUKE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  WAKE | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  CAL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  UNC | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  WSU | 12 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  LOU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | FSU | 8 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  STAN | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  W&M | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | NCSU | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  CCU | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Virginia Cavaliers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.