This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 50% to break even | 54%–93% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 50% to break even | 46%–83% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 50% to break even | 35%–88% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 1464%needs 50% to break even | 43%–81% | 14 points betterwon 64%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 50% to break even | 47%–80% | 15 points betterwon 65%, needs 50% |
Tonight TROY plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against ULM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 50.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 50.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 39 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY -14 spreadTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET |
| 89 |
| -38.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 31 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 44 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 51 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 45 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 16 | JVST | 30 | +20.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | 45 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 46 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 50 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 13 | 33 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 33 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 58 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 51 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 89 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 55 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 38 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 35 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 43 | +7.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 58 | -7.5 | Lost |
| 5 of 14· last season36%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 50% to break even |
| -32.8Not beating its price |
| TROY to win moneylineTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | NV-567at Novig | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 85% to break even | Record is last season's | -45.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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