This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 85% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 85% to break even | 14%–73% | 45 points shortwon 40%, needs 85% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 85% to break even | 27%–73% | 35 points shortwon 50%, needs 85% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 85% to break even | 33%–72% | 32 points shortwon 53%, needs 85% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 85% to break even | 22%–78% | 35 points shortwon 50%, needs 85% |
| Last season | 8 of 1457%needs 85% to break even | 36%–76% | 28 points shortwon 57%, needs 85% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 85% to break even | 37%–72% | 30 points shortwon 55%, needs 85% |
Tonight TROY plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against ULM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against troy to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -27 | -27 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET |
| 21 |
| +21 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 16 | JVST | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Nov 13 | -33 | -33 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 23 | +23 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even |
| -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
| TROY -14 spreadTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | PX+101at ProphetX | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 50% to break even | -32.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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