This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 50% to break even | 7%–46% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 50% to break even | 8%–41% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 50% to break even | 12%–65% | 16 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 2 of 1414%needs 50% to break even | 5%–35% | 35 points shortwon 14%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 4 of 2020%needs 50% to break even | 9%–38% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
Tonight TROY plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against ULM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against troy -14, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 14 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -27 | -41 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 21 | +7 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -11 | -25 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -10 | -24 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 17 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | -11 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 16 | JVST | -4 | -18 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | -17 | -31 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 10 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 12 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | -33 | -47 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -13 | -27 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 12 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 23 | +9 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | -10 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -21 | -35 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -11 | -25 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 18 | +4 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +100at Hard Rock | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 50.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price | |
| TROY to win moneylineTroy Trojans · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | NV-567at Novig | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 85% to break even | Record is last season's | -45.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.