Spartans games under 43.5: 5 of 10

How often it won

This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.

Games	Record	Likely win rate	Compared with the price
Last 5 games	2 of 540%needs 50% to break even	14%–73%	10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50%
Last 10 games	5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even	27%–73%	evenwon 50%, needs 50%
Last 15 games	6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even	22%–61%	10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50%
This season	3 of 743%needs 50% to break even	19%–71%	8 points shortwon 43%, needs 50%
Last season	4 of 1233%needs 50% to break even	16%–57%	17 points shortwon 33%, needs 50%
Every game	7 of 1937%needs 50% to break even	21%–56%	14 points shortwon 37%, needs 50%

Games like tonight

Tonight MSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UCLA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.

Create a free account to see games like tonight

Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.

Create free account

Every book's price

Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.

Michigan State Spartans @ UCLA Bruins: under 43.518 books

Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.

Every game behind it

Total points in each game against under 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.

Date	Opponent	Total points	Beat 43.5 by	Bet
This season
Oct 17	NU	45	-1.5	Lost
Oct 10	ILL	75	-31.5	Lost
Oct 3	WIS	34	+9.5	Won
Sep 26	NEB	44	-0.5	Lost
Sep 19	ND	37	+6.5	Won
Sep 12	EMU	42	+1.5	Won
Sep 4	TOL	50	-6.5	Lost
Last season
Nov 29	MD	66	-22.5	Lost
Nov 22	IOWA	37	+6.5	Won
Nov 15	PSU	38	+5.5	Won
Nov 1	MINN	43	+0.5	Won
Oct 25	MICH	51	-7.5	Lost
Oct 18	IU	51	-7.5	Lost
Oct 11	UCLA	51	-7.5	Lost
Oct 4	NEB	65	-21.5	Lost
Sep 20	USC	76	-32.5	Lost
Sep 13	YSU	65	-21.5	Lost
Sep 6	BC	82	-38.5	Lost
Aug 29	WMU	29	+14.5	Won

Every number on this bet

The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.

Create a free account to see every number on a bet

Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.

Create free account

The opposite bet

The numbers the books are posting on the other side.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
Over 43.5 game total, MSU gamesMichigan State Spartans · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET	NV-106at Novig	8 of 12· last season67%needs 51% to break even	Record is last season's	-13.9Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

More on Michigan State Spartans in this game

This team's other lines in the game.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
MSU to win moneylineMichigan State Spartans · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET	NV+567at Novig	4 of 12· last season33%needs 15% to break even	Record is last season's	-3.8Not beating its price
MSU +14.5 spreadMichigan State Spartans · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET	NV-102at Novig	9 of 12· last season75%needs 50% to break even	Record is last season's	-11.8Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.