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NCAAFGame lineSpread
MSU +14.5 (spread)
Won9 of 12last season · 75%
Best price-102Novig
Price needs50.5%wins to break even
Every game13 of 19this season and last
Trend score-11.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 50% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 1275%needs 50% to break even | 51%–90% | 25 points betterwon 75%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 50% to break even | 50%–83% | 18 points betterwon 68%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UCLA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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MSU +14.5 (spread)9 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against msu +14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  NU | -3 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  ILL | -1 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  WIS | -28 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  NEB | -18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  ND | -17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  EMU | 28 | +42.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 |  TOL | 10 | +24.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 |  MD | 10 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  IOWA | -3 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  PSU | -18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  MINN | -3 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  MICH | -11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  IU | -25 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  UCLA | -25 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | NEB | -11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  USC | -14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  YSU | 17 | +31.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  BC | 2 | +16.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  WMU | 17 | +31.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Michigan State Spartans in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU to win moneylineMichigan State Spartans · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+567at Novig | 4 of 12· last season33%needs 15% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 43.5 game total, MSU gamesMichigan State Spartans · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 43.5 game total, MSU gamesMichigan State Spartans · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 50% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.