This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 15% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 15% to break even | 0%–35% | 15 points shortwon 0%, needs 15% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 15% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points betterwon 30%, needs 15% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 15% to break even | 8%–41% | 5 points betterwon 20%, needs 15% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 15% to break even | 10%–59% | 14 points betterwon 29%, needs 15% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 15% to break even | 16%–57% | 18 points betterwon 33%, needs 15% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 15% to break even | 17%–50% | 17 points betterwon 32%, needs 15% |
Tonight MSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UCLA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against msu to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU +14.5 spreadMichigan State Spartans · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| -1 |
| -1 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -28 | -28 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -25 | -25 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -25 | -25 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| 9 of 12· last season75%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, MSU gamesMichigan State Spartans · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, MSU gamesMichigan State Spartans · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 50% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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