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NCAAFGame line3rd quarter spread
BOIS 3Q -2.5 (3rd quarter spread)
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price-126Kalshi
Price needs55.8%wins to break even
Every game10 of 20this season and last
Trend score-18.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 56% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 56% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points shortwon 53%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 6 of 1443%needs 56% to break even | 24%–64% | 13 points shortwon 43%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 56% to break even | 33%–67% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BOIS plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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BOIS 3Q -2.5 (3rd quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
3Q margin in each game against bois 3q -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  FRES | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  USU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  WMU | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  SDAK | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  MEM | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  ORE | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 13 |  WASH | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 |  UNLV | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | USU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  CSU | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  SDSU | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | FRES | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 |  NEV | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | UNLV | 21 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  UNM | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  ND | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  APP | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | AFA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  EWU | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 |  USF | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Boise State Broncos in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.