Hawkeyes games under 40.5: 7 of 15

How often it won

This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.

Games	Record	Likely win rate	Compared with the price
Last 5 games	2 of 540%needs 50% to break even	14%–73%	10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50%
Last 10 games	4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even	19%–65%	10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50%
Last 15 games	7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even	28%–67%	3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50%
This season	3 of 650%needs 50% to break even	22%–78%	evenwon 50%, needs 50%
Last season	5 of 1338%needs 50% to break even	20%–61%	12 points shortwon 38%, needs 50%
Every game	8 of 1942%needs 50% to break even	26%–61%	8 points shortwon 42%, needs 50%

Games like tonight

Tonight IOWA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against MINN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.

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Every book's price

Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.

Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers: under 40.519 books

Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.

Every game behind it

Total points in each game against under 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.

Date	Opponent	Total points	Beat 40.5 by	Bet
This season
Oct 9	WASH	65	-24.5	Lost
Oct 3	OSU	45	-4.5	Lost
Sep 26	MICH	39	+1.5	Won
Sep 19	UNI	55	-14.5	Lost
Sep 12	ISU	29	+11.5	Won
Sep 5	NIU	40	+0.5	Won
Last season
Dec 31	VAN	61	-20.5	Lost
Nov 28	NEB	56	-15.5	Lost
Nov 22	MSU	37	+3.5	Won
Nov 15	USC	47	-6.5	Lost
Nov 8	ORE	34	+6.5	Won
Oct 25	MINN	44	-3.5	Lost
Oct 18	PSU	49	-8.5	Lost
Oct 11	WIS	37	+3.5	Won
Sep 27	IU	35	+5.5	Won
Sep 19	RUTG	66	-25.5	Lost
Sep 13	MASS	54	-13.5	Lost
Sep 6	ISU	29	+11.5	Won
Aug 30	ABSU	41	-0.5	Lost

Every number on this bet

The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.

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The opposite bet

The numbers the books are posting on the other side.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
Over 40.5 game total, IOWA gamesIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	NV-108at Novig	8 of 13· last season62%needs 52% to break even	Record is last season's	-15.8Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

More on Iowa Hawkeyes in this game

This team's other lines in the game.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score
IOWA to win moneylineIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	PX-230at ProphetX	8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 70% to break even		-16.1Not beating its price
IOWA -6.5 spreadIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	NV-104at Novig	7 of 13· last season54%needs 51% to break even	Record is last season's	-20.1Not beating its price
IOWA -0.5 1st half spreadIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	-175at Kalshi	7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 64% to break even		-24.2Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.