This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 64% to break even | 14%–73% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 64% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 64% to break even | 22%–78% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 64% to break even | 39%–80% | 2 points shortwon 62%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 64% to break even | 39%–74% | 6 points shortwon 58%, needs 64% |
Tonight IOWA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against MINN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against iowa 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 9 | 24 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 42 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 33 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 31 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 23 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 23 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 game total, IOWA gamesIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price | |
| IOWA to win moneylineIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX-230at ProphetX | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 70% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price | ||
| IOWA -6.5 spreadIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 40.5 game total, IOWA gamesIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even | -22.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.