This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 70% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 70% to break even | 44%–95% | 10 points betterwon 80%, needs 70% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 70% to break even | 54%–93% | 10 points betterwon 80%, needs 70% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 70% to break even | 52%–87% | 4 points betterwon 73%, needs 70% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 70% to break even | 50%–96% | 14 points betterwon 83%, needs 70% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 70% to break even | 46%–85% | evenwon 69%, needs 70% |
| Every game | 14 of 1974%needs 70% to break even | 55%–87% | 4 points betterwon 74%, needs 70% |
Tonight IOWA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against MINN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against iowa to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 9 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 55 | +55 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 40 | +40 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 38 | +38 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 37 | +37 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 40 | +40 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 game total, IOWA gamesIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price | |
| IOWA -6.5 spreadIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 40.5 game total, IOWA gamesIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even | -22.9Not beating its price | ||
| IOWA -0.5 1st half spreadIowa Hawkeyes · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 64% to break even | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.