This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 52% to break even | 16%–57% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 52% to break even | 27%–63% | 7 points shortwon 44%, needs 52% |
Tonight WIS plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against USC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against wis +3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 game total, WIS gamesWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| +31 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 4 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 44 | +47 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 27 | +30 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -28 | -25 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -10 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 17 | +20 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -24 | -21 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +6 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -14 | -11 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -34 | -31 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -37 | -34 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -14 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -17 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -24 | -21 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 32 | +35 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 17 | +20 | Won |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 52% to break even |
| 0.6Slight |
| WIS to win moneylineWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | tS+135at theScore Bet | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| WIS -0.5 1st half spreadWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -18.1Not beating its price |
| WIS +0.5 1st half spreadWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -26.0Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, WIS gamesWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 2 of 6· this season33%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -33.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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