This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 41% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 41% to break even | 13%–48% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 41% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 41% to break even | 10%–49% | 16 points shortwon 25%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 6 of 1833%needs 41% to break even | 18%–53% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 41% |
Tonight WIS plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against USC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against wis 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 24 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -17 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -23 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -20 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -21 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 game total, WIS gamesWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 52% to break even | 0.6Slight | ||
| WIS to win moneylineWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | tS+135at theScore Bet | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price | ||
| WIS +3 spreadWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | PX-107at ProphetX | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 50.5 game total, WIS gamesWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 2 of 6· this season33%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -33.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.