This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 43% to break even | 44%–95% | 37 points betterwon 80%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 43% to break even | 35%–81% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 43% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 43% to break even | 35%–88% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 43% to break even | 16%–57% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 43% to break even | 27%–63% | 2 points betterwon 44%, needs 43% |
Tonight WIS plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against USC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against wis to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 game total, WIS gamesWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| 28 |
| +28 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 44 | +44 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -28 | -28 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -34 | -34 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -37 | -37 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 52% to break even |
| 0.6Slight |
| WIS +3 spreadWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | PX-107at ProphetX | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price |
| WIS -0.5 1st half spreadWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -18.1Not beating its price |
| WIS +0.5 1st half spreadWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -26.0Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, WIS gamesWisconsin Badgers · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 2 of 6· this season33%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -33.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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