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NCAAFGame lineSpread
ARIZ -8.5 (spread)
Won5 of 6this season · 83%
Best price-119Polymarket
Price needs54.3%wins to break even
Every game11 of 19this season and last
Trend score-11.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 54% to break even | 44%–95% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% | 16 points betterwon 70%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 54% to break even | 39%–78% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 54% to break even | 50%–96% | 29 points betterwon 83%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 54% to break even | 26%–68% | 8 points shortwon 46%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 54% to break even | 39%–74% | 4 points betterwon 58%, needs 54% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ARIZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ISU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
ARIZ -8.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against ariz -8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  WVU | 21 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  CIN | 27 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  WSU | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  NIU | 25 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  BYU | -11 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  NAU | 28 | +19.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  SMU | -5 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  ASU | 16 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  BAY | 24 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | CIN | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  KU | 4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  COLO | 35 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  HOU | -3 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | BYU | -6 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  OKST | 28 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  ISU | -25 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  KSU | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  WEB | 45 | +36.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  HAW | 34 | +25.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Arizona Wildcats in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.