This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 75% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 75% to break even | 44%–95% | 5 points betterwon 80%, needs 75% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 75% to break even | 54%–93% | 5 points betterwon 80%, needs 75% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 75% to break even | 52%–87% | 2 points shortwon 73%, needs 75% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 75% to break even | 50%–96% | 8 points betterwon 83%, needs 75% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 75% to break even | 46%–85% | 6 points shortwon 69%, needs 75% |
| Every game | 14 of 1974%needs 75% to break even | 55%–87% | 2 points shortwon 74%, needs 75% |
Tonight ARIZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ISU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ariz to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 45 | +45 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 34 | +34 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.