This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 57% to break even | 44%–87% | 13 points betterwon 70%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 57% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 57% to break even | 50%–96% | 26 points betterwon 83%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 57% to break even | 26%–68% | 11 points shortwon 46%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 57% to break even | 39%–74% | 1 points betterwon 58%, needs 57% |
Tonight ARIZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ISU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ariz -7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 21 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 27 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 25 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -11 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 28 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | -5 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 24 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 35 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -6 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 28 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -25 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 45 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 34 | +26.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.