This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 57% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% | lost by 1.4points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 57% to break even | 54%–93% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% | won by 2.3points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 57% to break even | 52%–87% | 16 points betterwon 73%, needs 57% | won by 1.7points |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 57% to break even | 35%–88% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 57% | won by 1.2points |
| Last season |
Tonight ISU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ARIZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st quarter margin in each game against ISU +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU +14.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 10 of 1283%needs 57% to break even |
| 60%–94% |
| 26 points betterwon 83%, needs 57% |
| won by 3.3points |
| Every game | 14 of 1878%needs 57% to break even | 59%–90% | 21 points betterwon 78%, needs 57% | won by 2.6points |
| -7 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 14 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 6 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -17 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 8 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 9 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 6 | +9.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| -164at Polymarket |
| 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 62% to break even7 of 7 on the road |
| Won last 18 in a row |
| 11.3Strong |
| ISU +4.5 2nd half spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 55% to break even6 of 7 on the road | 9.7Strong |
| ISU +0.5 1st half spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 35% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | 8.4Strong |
| ISU +16.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 66% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Won last 18 in a row | 8.2Strong |
| ISU +4.5 1st half spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 45% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | 4.6Good |
| ISU to win moneylineIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +296at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 25% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | 4.5Good |
| ISU +5.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even4 of 7 on the road | 4.4Good |
| ISU +8.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 46% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | 3.8Good |
| ISU +6.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 39% to break even4 of 7 on the road | 3.6Good |
| ISU +5.5 1st half spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 47% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | 3.1Good |
| ISU +4.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 35% to break even4 of 7 on the road | 2.7Slight |
| ISU +7.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Today 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 45% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.6Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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