This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% | 16 points betterwon 70%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 54% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 54% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 54% to break even | 41%–90% | 18 points betterwon 71%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 54% to break even | 22%–64% | 12 points shortwon 42%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 54% to break even | 35%–70% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 54% |
Tonight TLSA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ARMY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against under 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 1st half totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA -3.5 1st half spreadTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
| 34 |
| -6.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 1 | 27 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 16 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 13 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 36 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 17 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 19 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +24.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 10 | +17.5 | Won |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 66% to break even |
| -21.8Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 1st half totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 40% to break even |
| -5.6Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| TLSA -2.5 1st half spreadTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -9.6Not beating its price |
| TLSA -4.5 1st half spreadTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 1st quarter totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, TLSA gamesTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| TLSA -1.5 1st half spreadTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 49% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| TLSA -0.5 1st half spreadTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
| TLSA -6.5 1st half spreadTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 34% to break even | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, TLSA gamesTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, TLSA gamesTulsa Golden Hurricane · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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