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NCAAFGame lineSpread
TLSA -4.5 (spread)
Won4 of 7this season · 57%
Best price+149Polymarket
Price needs40.2%wins to break even
Every game7 of 19this season and last
Trend score-16.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 40% to break even | 27%–73% | 10 points betterwon 50%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 40% to break even | 17%–54% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 40% to break even | 29%–81% | 17 points betterwon 57%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 40% to break even | 10%–49% | 15 points shortwon 25%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 40% to break even | 21%–56% | 3 points shortwon 37%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TLSA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ARMY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
TLSA -4.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against tlsa -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  RICE | 21 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  NAVY | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 1 |  UNT | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  ARK | -28 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  ETAM | 42 | +37.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  SHSU | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  OKST | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 |  UAB | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  ARMY | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  ORST | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  FAU | -19 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  TEM | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 |  ECU | -14 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  MEM | -38 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  TULN | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | OKST | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | NAVY | -19 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  NMSU | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  ACU | 28 | +23.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Tulsa Golden Hurricane in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.