This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | 50.6total points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 944%needs 43% to break even | 22%–70% | 1 points betterwon 44%, needs 43% | 50total points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1436%needs 43% to break even | 19%–57% | 8 points shortwon 36%, needs 43% | 53.5total points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 43% to break even | 19%–71% | 1 points shortwon 43%, needs 43% | 49.3total points |
| Last season |
Tonight PITT plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 45, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 45 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT +11.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET |
| 6%–40% |
| 27 points shortwon 17%, needs 43% |
| 58.5total points |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 43% to break even | 13%–45% | 17 points shortwon 26%, needs 43% | 55.3total points |
| Oct 17 |
| 48 |
| -3 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 38 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 2 | 68 | -23 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 59 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 17 | 40 | +5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 19 | +26 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 73 | -28 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 40 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 45 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 22 | 70 | -25 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 52 | -7 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 55 | -10 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 87 | -42 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 43 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 65 | -20 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 55 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 61 | -16 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 55 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 62 | -17 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 70 | -25 | Lost |
| -190at Fanatics |
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 66% to break even6 of 7 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.1Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -170at Fanatics | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 63% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Over 45 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -160at Fanatics | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 62% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 59% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 46 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -145at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 59% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -140at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 58% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 47 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -135at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 57% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 55% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Over 48 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -115at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | tS+100at theScore Bet | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 50% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Over 49 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 51% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 49% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 50 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 49% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +110at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 48% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Over 51 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +120at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 45% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 43% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 52 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +135at Fanatics | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 43% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +145at Fanatics | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 41% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Over 53 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +145at Fanatics | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 41% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 39% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Over 54 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +160at Fanatics | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 38% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +164at FanDuel | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 38% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Over 55 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +180at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last season60%needs 36% to break even3 of 5 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +212at Polymarket | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 32% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 56 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 33% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +215at FanDuel | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 32% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +222at Polymarket |
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 31% to break even7 of 7 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| 28.1Very strong |
| PITT +13 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +210at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 32% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 27.1Very strong |
| PITT +13.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 33% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 26.4Very strong |
| PITT +12.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +200at FanDuel | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 33% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 26.3Very strong |
| PITT +12 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +190at Fanatics | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 34% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 25.3Very strong |
| PITT +14 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +185at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 35% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 24.9Very strong |
| PITT to win moneylinePittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | NV+1150at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 8% to break even5 of 7 on the road | 24.2Very strong |
| PITT +6.5 1st half spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 34% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 22.8Very strong |
| PITT +14.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +165at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 38% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 22.7Very strong |
| PITT +15 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +160at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 38% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 22.2Very strong |
| PITT +15.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +150at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 40% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 20.9Very strong |
| PITT +16 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +145at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 41% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 20.3Very strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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