This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 31% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 31% to break even | 65%–100% | 69 points betterwon 100%, needs 31% | won by 13points |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 31% to break even | 65%–98% | 59 points betterwon 90%, needs 31% | won by 9.2points |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 31% to break even | 67%–95% | 56 points betterwon 87%, needs 31% | won by 8.3points |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 31% to break even | 72%–100% | 69 points betterwon 100%, needs 31% | won by 16.4points |
| Last season |
Tonight PITT plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against PITT +11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT to win moneylinePittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET |
| 11 of 1385%needs 31% to break even |
| 63%–95% |
| 54 points betterwon 85%, needs 31% |
| won by 8.9points |
| Every game | 18 of 2090%needs 31% to break even | 74%–97% | 59 points betterwon 90%, needs 31% | won by 11.6points |
| Oct 17 | -6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | -4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 | 2 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 59 | +70.5 | Won |
| Sep 17 | 14 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 5 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 45 | +56.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -31 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 14 | +25.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -22 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 15 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 19 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 17 | +28.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 41 | +52.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 28 | +39.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 52 | +63.5 | Won |
| NV+1150at Novig |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 8% to break even5 of 7 on the road |
| 24.2Very strong |
| PITT +6.5 1st half spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 35% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 22.0Very strong |
| PITT +8.5 1st half spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 45% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 16.7Very strong |
| PITT +9.5 1st half spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 45% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 16.7Very strong |
| PITT +10.5 1st half spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 52% to break even7 of 7 on the road | 16.5Very strong |
| PITT +11.5 1st half spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 55% to break even7 of 7 on the road | 14.1Strong |
| PITT +13.5 1st half spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 59% to break even7 of 7 on the road | 10.9Strong |
| PITT +2.5 1st quarter spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 39% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 10.4Strong |
| PITT +5.5 1st quarter spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 51% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | 8.5Strong |
| PITT +6.5 1st quarter spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 52% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | 7.7Good |
| PITT +4.5 3rd quarter spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 54% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, PITT gamesPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +164at FanDuel | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 38% to break even5 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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