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NCAAFGame line1st quarter spread
PITT +6.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won12 of 13last season · 92%
Best price-109Polymarket
Price needs52.2%wins to break even
Every game18 of 20this season and last
Trend score7.7Good
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | won by 5.2points |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 52% to break even | 65%–98% | 38 points betterwon 90%, needs 52% | won by 6.8points |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 52% to break even | 67%–95% | 35 points betterwon 87%, needs 52% | won by 3.6points |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 52% to break even | 55%–97% | 34 points betterwon 86%, needs 52% | won by 7.1points |
| Last season | 12 of 1392%needs 52% to break even | 72%–98% | 40 points betterwon 92%, needs 52% | won by 4points |
| Every game | 18 of 2090%needs 52% to break even | 74%–97% | 38 points betterwon 90%, needs 52% | won by 5.1points |
Games like tonight
Tonight PITT plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 7 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
PITT +6.5 (1st quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1st quarter margin in each game against PITT +6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1st quarter margin | Beat -6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  BC | 5 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  UNC | 7 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 |  VT | -7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  BUCK | 14 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 17 |  SYR | 7 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  UCF | 3 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  M-OH | 21 | +27.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  ECU | 0 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  MIA | -3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  GT | 21 | +27.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  ND | -14 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  STAN | -3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  NCSU | 3 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | SYR | 0 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  FSU | 0 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | BC | 10 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  LOU | 17 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  WVU | 0 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  CMU | 7 | +13.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  DUQ | 14 | +20.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Pittsburgh Panthers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.