This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% | won by 5.2points |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 51% to break even | 65%–98% | 39 points betterwon 90%, needs 51% | won by 6.8points |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 51% to break even | 67%–95% | 35 points betterwon 87%, needs 51% | won by 3.6points |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 51% to break even | 55%–97% | 34 points betterwon 86%, needs 51% | won by 7.1points |
| Last season |
Tonight PITT plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st quarter margin in each game against PITT +5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1st quarter margin | Beat -5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT +11.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET |
| 12 of 1392%needs 51% to break even |
| 72%–98% |
| 41 points betterwon 92%, needs 51% |
| won by 4points |
| Every game | 18 of 2090%needs 51% to break even | 74%–97% | 39 points betterwon 90%, needs 51% | won by 5.1points |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | 7 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 | -7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 14 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 17 | 7 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 21 | +26.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 21 | +26.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -14 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 17 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 7 | +12.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 14 | +19.5 | Won |
| +222at Polymarket |
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 31% to break even7 of 7 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| 28.1Very strong |
| PITT +13 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +210at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 32% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 27.1Very strong |
| PITT +12.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +200at FanDuel | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 33% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 26.3Very strong |
| PITT +13.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +195at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 34% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 25.8Very strong |
| PITT +12 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +190at Fanatics | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 34% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 25.3Very strong |
| PITT +14 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +185at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 35% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 24.9Very strong |
| PITT to win moneylinePittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | NV+1150at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 8% to break even5 of 7 on the road | 24.2Very strong |
| PITT +14.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +165at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 38% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 22.7Very strong |
| PITT +15 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +160at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 38% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 22.2Very strong |
| PITT +6.5 1st half spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 35% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 22.0Very strong |
| PITT +15.5 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +150at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 40% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 20.9Very strong |
| PITT +16 spreadPittsburgh Panthers · Today 12:00 PM ET | +145at BetMGM | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 41% to break even7 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 20.3Very strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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