This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 51% to break even | 19%–71% | 8 points shortwon 43%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 7 of 1258%needs 51% to break even | 36%–78% | 7 points betterwon 58%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 51% to break even | 35%–70% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
Tonight BUF plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against BGSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 44.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 44.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 43 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 31 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 37 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 59 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 68 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 53 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 38 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | 57 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 57 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 57 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 31 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 40 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 49 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 61 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 37 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 38 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 59 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 51 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 33 | -11.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 game total, BUF gamesBuffalo Bulls · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF -3 spreadBuffalo Bulls · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.3Not beating its price | |
| BUF to win moneylineBuffalo Bulls · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-150at Novig | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.