NCAAFGame lineMoneyline

BUF to win (moneyline)

Buffalo BullsBowling Green Falcons @ Buffalo BullsSat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET

NVBet -150 ↗

Won4 of 7this season · 57%

Best price-150Novig

Price needs60.0%wins to break even

Every game9 of 19this season and last

Trend score-27.9Not beating its price

How often it won

This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.

Games	Record	Likely win rate	Compared with the price
Last 5 games	3 of 560%needs 60% to break even	27%–86%	evenwon 60%, needs 60%
Last 10 games	4 of 1040%needs 60% to break even	19%–65%	20 points shortwon 40%, needs 60%
Last 15 games	7 of 1547%needs 60% to break even	28%–67%	13 points shortwon 47%, needs 60%
This season	4 of 757%needs 60% to break even	29%–81%	3 points shortwon 57%, needs 60%
Last season	5 of 1242%needs 60% to break even	22%–64%	18 points shortwon 42%, needs 60%
Every game	9 of 1947%needs 60% to break even	30%–65%	13 points shortwon 47%, needs 60%

Games like tonight

Tonight BUF plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against BGSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.

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Every book's price

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BUF to win (moneyline)19 books

Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.

Every game behind it

Margin in each game against buf to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.

Date	Opponent	Margin	Beat 0 by	Bet
This season
Oct 17	MASS	7	+7	Won
Oct 10	TOL	15	+15	Won
Oct 3	WMU	-3	-3	Lost
Sep 26	RMU	3	+3	Won
Sep 19	PSU	-42	-42	Lost
Sep 12	FIU	-13	-13	Lost
Sep 3	ABSU	4	+4	Won
Last season
Nov 28	OHIO	-5	-5	Lost
Nov 19	M-OH	-17	-17	Lost
Nov 12	CMU	-19	-19	Lost
Nov 1	BGSU	25	+25	Won
Oct 25	AKR	-8	-8	Lost
Oct 18	MASS	7	+7	Won
Oct 4	EMU	1	+1	Won
Sep 27	CONN	-3	-3	Lost
Sep 20	TROY	-4	-4	Lost
Sep 13	KENT	3	+3	Won
Sep 6	SFPA	39	+39	Won
Aug 28	MINN	-13	-13	Lost

Every number on this bet

The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.

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More on Buffalo Bulls in this game

This team's other lines in the game.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score
Over 44.5 game total, BUF gamesBuffalo Bulls · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	-105at Hard Rock	7 of 12· last season58%needs 51% to break even	Record is last season's	-18.0Not beating its price
Under 44.5 game total, BUF gamesBuffalo Bulls · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	NV+100at Novig	4 of 7· this season57%needs 50% to break even	Record is this season's	-20.0Not beating its price
BUF -3 spreadBuffalo Bulls · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	LVG-108at LowVig	3 of 6· this season50%needs 52% to break even	Record is this season's	-27.3Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.