This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 52% to break even | 18%–82% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 933%needs 52% to break even | 14%–60% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1436%needs 52% to break even | 19%–57% | 16 points shortwon 36%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 52% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 3 of 1127%needs 52% to break even | 11%–52% | 25 points shortwon 27%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 6 of 1735%needs 52% to break even | 19%–55% | 17 points shortwon 35%, needs 52% |
Tonight BUF plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against BGSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against buf -3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 7 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 game total, BUF gamesBuffalo Bulls · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 15 |
| +12 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | -3 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Sep 19 | -42 | -45 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -13 | -16 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | -5 | -8 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -17 | -20 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | -19 | -22 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 25 | +22 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -8 | -11 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +4 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -4 | -7 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Sep 6 | 39 | +36 | Won |
| Aug 28 | -13 | -16 | Lost |
| 7 of 12· last season58%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.0Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, BUF gamesBuffalo Bulls · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
| BUF to win moneylineBuffalo Bulls · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-150at Novig | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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