This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even | 22%–61% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 50% to break even | 19%–71% | 7 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 50% to break even | 22%–64% | 8 points shortwon 42%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 50% to break even | 26%–61% | 8 points shortwon 42%, needs 50% |
Tonight BGSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BUF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 44.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 44.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 63 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 game total, BGSU gamesBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU to win moneylineBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 48 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 44 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 20 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 62 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 63 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 33 | +11.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 25 | 59 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 35 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 48 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 31 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 45 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 33 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 51 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 55 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 57 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 36 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 54 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 33 | +11.5 | Won |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even |
| -13.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 12· last season33%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.5Not beating its price |
| BGSU +3 spreadBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | PX+104at ProphetX | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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