This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 944%needs 49% to break even | 22%–70% | 5 points shortwon 44%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1338%needs 49% to break even | 20%–61% | 11 points shortwon 38%, needs 49% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 49% to break even | 19%–71% | 6 points shortwon 43%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 7 of 1741%needs 49% to break even | 24%–61% | 8 points shortwon 41%, needs 49% |
Tonight BGSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BUF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bgsu +3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 game total, BGSU gamesBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 28 |
| +31 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 4 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -8 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -48 | -45 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -49 | -46 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | -7 | -4 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 25 | 31 | +34 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | -3 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 8 | -6 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -25 | -22 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -3 | 0 | Tie |
| Oct 18 | -21 | -18 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 5 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -15 | -12 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -23 | -20 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 10 | +13 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -14 | -11 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 19 | +22 | Won |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even |
| -13.9Not beating its price |
| BGSU to win moneylineBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | PX+148at ProphetX | 4 of 12· last season33%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, BGSU gamesBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 50% to break even | -24.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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