NCAAFGame lineMoneyline

BGSU to win (moneyline)

Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green Falcons @ Buffalo BullsTomorrow 3:30 PM ET

PXBet +148 ↗

Won4 of 12last season · 33%

Best price+148ProphetX

Price needs40.3%wins to break even

Every game6 of 19this season and last

Trend score-21.5Not beating its price

How often it won

This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.

Games	Record	Likely win rate	Compared with the price
Last 5 games	2 of 540%needs 40% to break even	14%–73%	evenwon 40%, needs 40%
Last 10 games	3 of 1030%needs 40% to break even	13%–56%	10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40%
Last 15 games	4 of 1527%needs 40% to break even	13%–48%	14 points shortwon 27%, needs 40%
This season	2 of 729%needs 40% to break even	10%–59%	12 points shortwon 29%, needs 40%
Last season	4 of 1233%needs 40% to break even	16%–57%	7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40%
Every game	6 of 1932%needs 40% to break even	17%–50%	9 points shortwon 32%, needs 40%

Games like tonight

Tonight BGSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BUF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.

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Every book's price

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BGSU to win (moneyline)19 books

Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.

Every game behind it

Margin in each game against bgsu to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.

Date	Opponent	Margin	Beat 0 by	Bet
This season
Oct 17	BALL	-1	-1	Lost
Oct 10	SAC	28	+28	Won
Oct 3	M-OH	4	+4	Won
Sep 26	USF	-8	-8	Lost
Sep 19	ISU	-48	-48	Lost
Sep 12	NEB	-49	-49	Lost
Sep 5	TAR	-7	-7	Lost
Last season
Nov 25	MASS	31	+31	Won
Nov 18	AKR	-3	-3	Lost
Nov 8	EMU	-6	-6	Lost
Nov 1	BUF	-25	-25	Lost
Oct 25	KENT	-3	-3	Lost
Oct 18	CMU	-21	-21	Lost
Oct 11	TOL	5	+5	Won
Sep 27	OHIO	-15	-15	Lost
Sep 20	LOU	-23	-23	Lost
Sep 13	LIB	10	+10	Won
Sep 6	CIN	-14	-14	Lost
Aug 28	LAF	19	+19	Won

Every number on this bet

The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.

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More on Bowling Green Falcons in this game

This team's other lines in the game.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Trend score
Over 44.5 game total, BGSU gamesBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET	-105at Hard Rock	9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even	-13.9Not beating its price
BGSU +3 spreadBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET	PX+104at ProphetX	3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even	-21.6Not beating its price
Under 44.5 game total, BGSU gamesBowling Green Falcons · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET	NV+100at Novig	6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 50% to break even	-24.0Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.