This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 47% to break even | 19%–65% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 47% to break even | 33%–72% | 7 points betterwon 53%, needs 47% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 47% to break even | 10%–59% | 18 points shortwon 29%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 10 of 1567%needs 47% to break even | 46%–83% | 20 points betterwon 67%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 12 of 2255%needs 47% to break even | 38%–71% | 8 points betterwon 55%, needs 47% |
Tonight ALA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TA&M. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ALA points in each game against under 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ALA points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 17 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 56 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 49 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 50 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 45 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 48 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 1 | 3 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 34 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 7 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 56 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 21 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 20 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 29 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 37 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 38 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 73 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 17 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 team totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 32.5 team totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 team totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 37.5 team totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.