This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 45% to break even | 35%–81% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 45% to break even | 16%–57% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 7 of 1839%needs 45% to break even | 23%–58% | 6 points shortwon 39%, needs 45% |
Tonight AF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WYO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| 35 |
| +8.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 23 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 69 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 70 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 34 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | 63 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 23 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 42 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 42 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 37 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 45 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 99 | -55.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 65 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 79 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 86 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 79 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 62 | -18.5 | Lost |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 45% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 60% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| AF -6.5 1st half spreadAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 41% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
| AF -9.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 40% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
| AF -4.5 1st half spreadAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 44% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 34% to break even | -19.1Not beating its price |
| AF -7.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 44% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
| AF -11.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 35% to break even | -20.3Not beating its price |
| AF -4.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
| AF -10.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 37% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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