This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 63% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 63% to break even | 19%–65% | 23 points shortwon 40%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 63% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points shortwon 53%, needs 63% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 63% to break even | 22%–78% | 13 points shortwon 50%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 8 of 1267%needs 63% to break even | 43%–84% | 4 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 11 of 1861%needs 63% to break even | 42%–77% | 2 points shortwon 61%, needs 63% |
Tonight AF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WYO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 42.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 40.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET |
| 35 |
| -7.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 23 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 69 | +26.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 70 | +27.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 34 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | 63 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 23 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 42 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 42 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 37 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 45 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 99 | +56.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 65 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 79 | +36.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 86 | +43.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 79 | +36.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 62 | +19.5 | Won |
| 3 of 6· this season50%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -15.9Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 55% to break even | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 62% to break even | -28.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 61% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price |
| AF -7.5 1st half spreadAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 34% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price |
| AF -6.5 1st half spreadAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 41% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
| AF -4.5 1st half spreadAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 44% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price |
| AF -9.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 42% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price |
| AF -7.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 44% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
| AF -11.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 36% to break even | -21.1Not beating its price |
| AF -4.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
| AF -10.5 spreadAir Force Falcons · Today 9:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 37% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.