This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 52% to break even | 10%–49% | 27 points shortwon 25%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 7 of 1839%needs 52% to break even | 23%–58% | 13 points shortwon 39%, needs 52% |
Tonight AF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WYO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against af -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| 21 |
| +16.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 34 | +29.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | 21 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -10 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -9 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -12 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -19 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 36 | +31.5 | Won |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 45% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 60% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| AF -6.5 1st half spreadAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 41% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, AF gamesAir Force Falcons · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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