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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
ORE 1H -5.5 (1st half spread)
Won11 of 15last season · 73%
Best price-109Polymarket
Price needs52.2%wins to break even
Every game12 of 21this season and last
Trend score-21.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 52% to break even | 5%–56% | 32 points shortwon 20%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 52% to break even | 4%–50% | 35 points shortwon 17%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 11 of 1573%needs 52% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 12 of 2157%needs 52% to break even | 40%–73% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ORE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ILL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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ORE 1H -5.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against ore 1h -5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  NEB | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  UCLA | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  USC | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 18 |  PRST | 49 | +43.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  OKST | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  BOIS | -3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 9 |  IU | -28 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  TTU | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 |  JMU | 28 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  WASH | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | USC | 14 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 |  MINN | 22 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  IOWA | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  WIS | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  RUTG | 39 | +33.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | IU | -3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  PSU | 0 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  ORST | 14 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  NU | 17 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | OKST | 38 | +32.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  MTST | 35 | +29.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Oregon Ducks in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.