This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 36% to break even | 5%–56% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 36% to break even | 4%–50% | 19 points shortwon 17%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 8 of 1553%needs 36% to break even | 33%–72% | 17 points betterwon 53%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 9 of 2143%needs 36% to break even | 27%–60% | 7 points betterwon 43%, needs 36% |
Tonight ORE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ILL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ore -16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | -13.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55.5 game total, ORE gamesOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET |
| Oct 10 | -2 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 18 | 84 | +67.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -8 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 9 | -34 | -50.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 23 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | 17 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | 29 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 2 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 46 | +29.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -10 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 34 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 66 | +49.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 46 | +29.5 | Won |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even |
| -7.2Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, ORE gamesOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 45% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, ORE gamesOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 47% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, ORE gamesOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | NV+102at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, ORE gamesOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, ORE gamesOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 36% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| ORE -4.5 1st half spreadOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| ORE -5.5 1st half spreadOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price |
| ORE to win moneylineOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | NV-308at Novig | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 75% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, ORE gamesOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 7 of 15· last season47%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, ORE gamesOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 50% to break even | -25.7Not beating its price |
| ORE -6.5 1st half spreadOregon Ducks · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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