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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
ILL 1H +2.5 (1st half spread)
Won9 of 13last season · 69%
Best price+149Polymarket
Price needs40.2%wins to break even
Every game13 of 19this season and last
Trend score0.3Slight
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 40% to break even | 44%–87% | 30 points betterwon 70%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 40% to break even | 46%–83% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 40% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 40% to break even | 35%–88% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 40% to break even | 46%–85% | 29 points betterwon 69%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 40% to break even | 50%–83% | 28 points betterwon 68%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ILL plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against ORE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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ILL 1H +2.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against ill 1h +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  MSU | 13 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  PUR | -6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  OSU | -18 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  SIU | 21 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  DUKE | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 3 |  UAB | 8 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 |  TENN | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  NU | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  WIS | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  MD | 8 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  RUTG | 15 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  WASH | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | OSU | -17 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | PUR | 13 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  USC | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  IU | -25 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  WMU | 10 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | DUKE | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  WIU | 31 | +33.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Illinois Fighting Illini in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.