This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 66% to break even | 14%–73% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 66% to break even | 19%–65% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 66% to break even | 17%–54% | 32 points shortwon 33%, needs 66% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 66% to break even | 19%–71% | 23 points shortwon 43%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 66% to break even | 10%–49% | 41 points shortwon 25%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 66% to break even | 17%–50% | 34 points shortwon 32%, needs 66% |
Tonight STAN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against NCSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
STAN points in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | STAN points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 34 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 3 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 34 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 6 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 37 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 31 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 30 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 30 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 23.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.