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NCAAFGame lineSpread
NCSU -9.5 (spread)
Won7 of 15last 15 games · 47%
Best price+124Kalshi
Price needs44.6%wins to break even
Every game8 of 19this season and last
Trend score-18.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 45% to break even | 12%–65% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 45% to break even | 26%–68% | 2 points betterwon 46%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 45% to break even | 26%–61% | 3 points shortwon 42%, needs 45% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NCSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against STAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
NCSU -9.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against ncsu -9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  WAKE | -24 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  LOU | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  APP | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  VAN | -4 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 |  RICH | 73 | +63.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  UVA | -26 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 |  MEM | 24 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  UNC | 23 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 |  FSU | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  MIA | -34 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  GT | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  PITT | -19 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  ND | -29 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  CAM | 46 | +36.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  VT | -2 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  DUKE | -12 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | WAKE | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | UVA | 4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 |  ECU | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on NC State Wolfpack in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.