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San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks: under 226.5
Won9 of 10last 10 games · 90%
Best price+131Polymarket
Price needs43.3%wins to break even
Every game57 of 108this season and last
Trend score10.6Strong
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 43% to break even | 65%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% | 213.4total points |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 43% to break even | 65%–98% | 47 points betterwon 90%, needs 43% | 214total points |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 43% to break even | 46%–83% | 23 points betterwon 67%, needs 43% | 218.4total points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 43% to break even | 42%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% | 222total points |
| Last season | 55 of 10652%needs 43% to break even | 44%–60% | 9 points betterwon 52%, needs 43% | 228.3total points |
| Every game | 57 of 10853%needs 43% to break even | 45%–61% | 9 points betterwon 53%, needs 43% | 228.2total points |
Games like tonight
Tonight SA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 26 of 52 on the road.
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Every book's price
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San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks: under 226.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 226.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 226.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  HOU | 224 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 |  OKC | 220 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 |  NY | 184 | +42.5 | Won |
| Jun 10 | NY | 213 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jun 8 | NY | 226 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jun 5 | NY | 209 | +17.5 | Won |
| Jun 3 | NY | 200 | +26.5 | Won |
| May 30 | OKC | 214 | +12.5 | Won |
| May 28 | OKC | 209 | +17.5 | Won |
| May 26 | OKC | 241 | -14.5 | Lost |
| May 24 | OKC | 185 | +41.5 | Won |
| May 22 | OKC | 231 | -4.5 | Lost |
| May 20 | OKC | 235 | -8.5 | Lost |
| May 18 | OKC | 237 | -10.5 | Lost |
| May 15 |  MIN | 248 | -21.5 | Lost |
| May 12 | MIN | 223 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 10 | MIN | 223 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 8 | MIN | 223 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 6 | MIN | 228 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 4 | MIN | 206 | +20.5 | Won |
| Apr 28 |  POR | 209 | +17.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | POR | 207 | +19.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | POR | 228 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | POR | 209 | +17.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | POR | 209 | +17.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  DEN | 246 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  DAL | 259 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 | POR | 213 | +13.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 |  PHI | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | DEN | 270 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  LAC | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  GS | 240 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  CHI | 243 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  MIL | 222 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  MEM | 221 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  MIA | 247 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  IND | 253 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  PHX | 201 | +25.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  SAC | 236 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | LAC | 234 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  CHA | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | DEN | 267 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  BOS | 241 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | HOU | 265 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | LAC | 228 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  DET | 227 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | PHI | 222 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | NY | 203 | +23.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  BKN | 236 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 |  TOR | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | DET | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | SAC | 261 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 | PHX | 215 | +11.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | GS | 239 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 |  LAL | 244 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | DAL | 263 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 | DAL | 258 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | OKC | 222 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 |  ORL | 215 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | CHA | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | HOU | 210 | +16.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  NO | 199 | +27.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  UTAH | 235 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | HOU | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | UTAH | 233 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | MIN | 249 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | MIL | 220 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 | OKC | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | MIN | 207 | +19.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | BOS | 195 | +31.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | LAL | 198 | +28.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | MEM | 211 | +15.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | POR | 225 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | IND | 236 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | NY | 266 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  CLE | 214 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | UTAH | 241 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | OKC | 219 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | OKC | 240 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  WSH | 237 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 |  ATL | 224 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | WSH | 213 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 16 | NY | 237 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | OKC | 220 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 10 | LAL | 251 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 | NO | 267 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | CLE | 247 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | ORL | 226 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | MEM | 245 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | MIN | 237 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | DEN | 275 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | POR | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | PHX | 213 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | ATL | 261 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | MEM | 212 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | SAC | 233 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | GS | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | GS | 245 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | CHI | 238 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | NO | 245 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | HOU | 231 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | LAL | 234 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | PHX | 248 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | MIA | 208 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | TOR | 224 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | BKN | 225 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | NO | 236 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | DAL | 217 | +9.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 225.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg |  -179at Polymarket | 53 of 106· last season50%needs 64% to break even28 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -42.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 226.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -164at Polymarket | 51 of 106· last season48%needs 62% to break even26 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -44.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 227.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -145at Polymarket | 50 of 106· last season47%needs 59% to break even26 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -42.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 228.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -134at Polymarket | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 57% to break even25 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -41.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 229.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -119at Polymarket | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 54% to break even25 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -38.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 230.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -109at Polymarket | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 52% to break even25 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 231.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -101at Polymarket | 45 of 106· last season42%needs 50% to break even25 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 232.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg |  +105at Kalshi | 45 of 106· last season42%needs 49% to break even25 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 233.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +116at Polymarket | 43 of 106· last season41%needs 46% to break even25 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 234.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +126at Polymarket | 41 of 106· last season39%needs 44% to break even23 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 236.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +149at Polymarket | 35 of 106· last season33%needs 40% to break even17 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 238.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +173at Kalshi | 30 of 106· last season28%needs 37% to break even13 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 239.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +169at Polymarket | 29 of 106· last season27%needs 37% to break even12 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on San Antonio Spurs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 118.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 42% to break even27 of 52 on the road | Won last 13 in a row | 22.1Very strong | |
| Under 116.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +181at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 36% to break even23 of 52 on the road | 20.5Very strong | ||
| Under 120.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 49% to break even30 of 52 on the road | Won last 13 in a row | 16.5Very strong | |
| Under 122.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 56% to break even32 of 52 on the road | Won last 14 in a row | 13.5Strong | |
| Under 124.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even35 of 52 on the road | Won last 14 in a row | 7.0Good | |
| SA -18.5 spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +193at Polymarket | 21 of 106· last season20%needs 34% to break even11 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price | |
| SA -0.5 3rd quarter spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | -175at Kalshi | 63 of 106· last season59%needs 64% to break even29 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price | |
| SA -16.5 spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +152at Kalshi | 25 of 106· last season24%needs 40% to break even12 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price | |
| SA -15.5 spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +134at Kalshi | 27 of 106· last season25%needs 43% to break even13 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -33.6Not beating its price | |
| SA -14.5 spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +126at Polymarket | 31 of 106· last season29%needs 44% to break even14 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 124.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +129at Kalshi | 33 of 106· last season31%needs 44% to break even17 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -35.9Not beating its price | |
| SA -13.5 spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Today 8:00 PM ETSA without HarrisDAL without Flagg | +107at Polymarket | 32 of 106· last season30%needs 48% to break even15 of 52 on the road | Record is last season's | -37.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.