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NBAGame lineTotal
Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers: under 228.5
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price+143Polymarket
Price needs41.2%wins to break even
Every game52 of 96this season and last
Trend score9.8Strong
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 41% to break even | 44%–95% | 39 points betterwon 80%, needs 41% | 219.2total points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 41% to break even | 54%–93% | 39 points betterwon 80%, needs 41% | 217.3total points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 41% to break even | 59%–92% | 39 points betterwon 80%, needs 41% | 216.1total points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 41% to break even | 42%–100% | 59 points betterwon 100%, needs 41% | 213total points |
| Last season | 50 of 9453%needs 41% to break even | 45%–61% | 12 points betterwon 53%, needs 41% | 229.8total points |
| Every game | 52 of 9654%needs 41% to break even | 46%–62% | 13 points betterwon 54%, needs 41% | 229.5total points |
Games like tonight
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 28 of 48 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers: under 228.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 228.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 228.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 |  CLE | 220 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 |  NY | 206 | +22.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | NY | 258 | -29.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | NY | 202 | +26.5 | Won |
| May 6 | NY | 210 | +18.5 | Won |
| May 4 | NY | 235 | -6.5 | Lost |
| May 2 |  BOS | 209 | +19.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 | BOS | 199 | +29.5 | Won |
| Apr 28 | BOS | 210 | +18.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | BOS | 224 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | BOS | 208 | +20.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | BOS | 208 | +20.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | BOS | 214 | +14.5 | Won |
| Apr 15 |  ORL | 206 | +22.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  MIL | 232 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  IND | 199 | +29.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  HOU | 215 | +13.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 |  SA | 217 | +11.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  DET | 209 | +19.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  MIN | 218 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  WSH | 284 | -55.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  MIA | 228 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  CHA | 232 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  CHI | 294 | -65.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  OKC | 226 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  UTAH | 242 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  SAC | 257 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  DEN | 220 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  POR | 212 | +16.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  BKN | 201 | +27.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | DET | 240 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  MEM | 268 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 | CLE | 216 | +12.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  ATL | 241 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | UTAH | 208 | +20.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | SA | 222 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | BOS | 212 | +16.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | MIA | 241 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | IND | 249 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | MIN | 243 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  NO | 237 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 | ATL | 224 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | NY | 227 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | POR | 253 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 |  PHX | 212 | +16.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  LAL | 234 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  GS | 207 | +21.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 |  LAC | 241 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | NO | 238 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | SAC | 224 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 | MIL | 261 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | CHA | 223 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | NY | 221 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | HOU | 250 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | PHX | 226 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | IND | 217 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | CLE | 232 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 | CLE | 240 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 12 |  TOR | 217 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | TOR | 231 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | ORL | 194 | +34.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | WSH | 241 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | DEN | 249 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | NY | 249 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  DAL | 231 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | MEM | 275 | -46.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | OKC | 233 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | CHI | 211 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | BKN | 220 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | DAL | 235 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 | NY | 223 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | ATL | 237 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | IND | 220 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | LAL | 220 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | MIL | 217 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | GS | 197 | +31.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | WSH | 223 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | ATL | 276 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | BKN | 218 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | ORL | 247 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | MIA | 244 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | MIL | 237 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | TOR | 233 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | LAC | 218 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | DET | 219 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 11 | BOS | 202 | +26.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | DET | 219 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | TOR | 250 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | CLE | 253 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | CHI | 224 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | BKN | 234 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | BOS | 217 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | WSH | 273 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | ORL | 260 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | CHA | 246 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | BOS | 233 | -4.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Philadelphia 76ers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.