This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 119.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 52% to break even | 44%–87% | 18 points betterwon 70%, needs 52% | 113.7total points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 52% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 52% | 113.2total points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 52% to break even | 42%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | 113total points |
| Last season | 51 of 9454%needs 52% to break even | 46%–62% | 2 points betterwon 54%, needs 52% | 118.6total points |
| Every game | 53 of 9655%needs 52% to break even | 47%–63% | 3 points betterwon 55%, needs 52% | 118.4total points |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 28 of 48 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st half total points in each game against under 119.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1st half total points | Beat 119.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 114 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 112 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 138 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 112 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 123 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 125 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 105 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 107 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 107 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 94 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 101 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 116 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 110 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 114 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 120 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 109 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 129 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 117 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 131 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 88 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 144 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 133 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 123 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 108 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 134 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 133 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 112 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 107 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 84 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 129 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 139 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 100 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 139 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 101 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 131 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 112 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 130 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 140 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 126 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 122 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 113 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 114 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 129 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 105 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 110 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 113 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 125 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 121 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 114 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 133 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 113 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 124 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 129 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 110 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 105 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 117 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 107 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 131 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 106 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 107 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 118 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 116 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 124 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 125 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 144 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 126 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 101 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 120 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 130 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 116 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 114 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 121 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 113 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 118 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 90 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 120 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 115 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 111 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 146 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 138 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 112 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 109 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 102 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 117 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 92 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 118 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 131 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 137 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 131 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 128 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 125 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 140 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 132 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 108 | +11.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 119.5 1st half totalPhiladelphia 76ers · Today 7:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 43 of 94· last season46%needs 55% to break even20 of 48 at home | Record is last season's | -34.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.