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Won38 of 88last season · 43%
Best price+137Polymarket
Price needs42.2%wins to break even
Every game40 of 90this season and last
Trend score-20.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | lost by 8.4points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 42% to break even | 13%–56% | 12 points shortwon 30%, needs 42% | lost by 5.5points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 42% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | won by 0.6points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 42% to break even | 42%–100% | 58 points betterwon 100%, needs 42% | won by 27points |
| Last season | 38 of 8843%needs 42% to break even | 35%–52% | 1 points betterwon 43%, needs 42% | won by 1.1points |
| Every game | 40 of 9044%needs 42% to break even | 36%–53% | 2 points betterwon 44%, needs 42% | won by 1.6points |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, on a back-to-back, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 21 of 44 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
ATL -4.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against ATL -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  CHA | 47 | +42.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 |  ORL | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 |  NY | -51 | -55.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | NY | -29 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | NY | -16 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | NY | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | NY | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | NY | -11 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MIA | -26 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CLE | 22 | +17.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 | CLE | -6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | NY | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  BKN | 34 | +29.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 | ORL | 29 | +24.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  BOS | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  SAC | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | BOS | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  DET | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  MEM | 39 | +34.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  GS | 16 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  HOU | -22 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  DAL | 15 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | ORL | 12 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  MIL | 23 | +18.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | BKN | 11 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | DAL | 12 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  PHI | 9 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 | MIL | 18 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  POR | 34 | +29.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  WSH | 30 | +25.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | WSH | 21 | +16.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | BKN | 11 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | MIA | -31 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 | PHI | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | CHA | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  MIN | -22 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | CHA | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  UTAH | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | MIA | 12 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 |  IND | -5 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | HOU | -18 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | BOS | 11 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | IND | 16 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  PHX | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | MEM | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | MIL | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | BOS | -26 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | POR | -16 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  LAL | -25 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | GS | 13 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 |  DEN | 23 | +18.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  NO | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 |  TOR | -18 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | TOR | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | NY | 12 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | MIN | 24 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  OKC | -11 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | NY | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | MIA | -15 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  CHI | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | CHI | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 |  SA | -28 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | CHA | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | PHI | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | DET | -27 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | WSH | 15 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | DEN | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  LAC | -23 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | DET | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | PHI | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | CLE | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | WSH | -19 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | CHA | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | NO | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | SA | -9 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | DET | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | PHX | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | UTAH | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | SAC | 33 | +28.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | LAC | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | LAL | 20 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | TOR | -12 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | ORL | 15 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | CLE | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | IND | 20 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | BKN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | CHI | -5 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | OKC | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | ORL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | TOR | -20 | -24.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Atlanta Hawks in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.