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NBAPlayer propRebounds
Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 3.5 rebounds
Won8 of 15last 15 games · 53%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game36 of 86this season and last
Trend score-14.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 41% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% | 2.4rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 41% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% | 2.6rebounds |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 41% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 41% | 3rebounds |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 41% to break even | 12%–88% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% | 3.5rebounds |
| Last season | 35 of 8442%needs 41% to break even | 33%–51% | 1 points betterwon 42%, needs 41% | 3.4rebounds |
| Every game | 36 of 8642%needs 41% to break even | 33%–51% | 1 points betterwon 42%, needs 41% | 3.4rebounds |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, on a back-to-back, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 42 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 3.5 rebounds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rebounds in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  CHA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 |  ORL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 |  NY | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | NY | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | NY | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 23 | NY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | NY | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | NY | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CLE | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 | CLE | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 | NY | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  BKN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 | ORL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  BOS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  SAC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | BOS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  DET | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  MEM | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  GS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  HOU | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  DAL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | ORL | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  MIL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 | BKN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | DAL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 |  PHI | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | MIL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  POR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 |  WSH | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | BKN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  MIA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 | PHI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | CHA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  MIN | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | CHA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  UTAH | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | MIA | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 |  IND | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | HOU | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | BOS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | IND | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  PHX | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | MEM | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | MIL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | BOS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | POR | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  LAL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | GS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  DEN | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  NO | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 |  TOR | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | TOR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | NY | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | MIN | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  OKC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | NY | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | MIA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  CHI | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | CHI | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 |  SA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | CHA | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | PHI | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | DET | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | WSH | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | DEN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  LAC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | DET | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | PHI | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | CLE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 25 | WSH | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | CHA | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | NO | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | SA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | DET | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | PHX | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | UTAH | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | SAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | TOR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | ORL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | CLE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | IND | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | BKN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | CHI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | OKC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | ORL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | TOR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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