This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 41% to break even | 0%–35% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% | 1.2rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 41% to break even | 0%–21% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% | 0.6rebounds |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 41% to break even | 0%–15% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% | 0.9rebounds |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 41% to break even | 0%–58% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% | 2rebounds |
| Last season | 23 of 7630%needs 41% to break even | 22%–39% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 41% | 2.7rebounds |
| Every game | 23 of 7829%needs 41% to break even | 22%–39% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 41% | 2.7rebounds |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, on a back-to-back, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 38 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 28 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 5 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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