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NBAGame line1st quarter spread
ATL 1Q -5.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won26 of 88last season · 30%
Best price+140Kalshi
Price needs41.7%wins to break even
Every game26 of 89this season and last
Trend score-31.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 42% to break even | 2%–35% | 32 points shortwon 10%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 42% to break even | 5%–33% | 28 points shortwon 13%, needs 42% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 42% to break even | 0%–73% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 26 of 8830%needs 42% to break even | 22%–38% | 12 points shortwon 30%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 26 of 8929%needs 42% to break even | 22%–38% | 12 points shortwon 29%, needs 42% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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ATL 1Q -5.5 (1st quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against atl 1q -5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ORL | -5 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 |  NY | -25 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | NY | -13 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | NY | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | NY | 12 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | NY | -9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | NY | -6 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MIA | -9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CLE | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 | CLE | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | NY | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  BKN | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 | ORL | -3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  BOS | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  SAC | -3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 | BOS | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  DET | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  MEM | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  GS | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  HOU | -8 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  DAL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | ORL | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  MIL | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 | BKN | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | DAL | 14 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  PHI | -10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | MIL | -13 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  POR | 19 | +13.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  WSH | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | WSH | 15 | +9.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | BKN | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | MIA | -13 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 | PHI | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  CHA | -8 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  MIN | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | CHA | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  UTAH | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | MIA | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 |  IND | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | HOU | 0 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | BOS | 20 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | IND | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  PHX | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | MEM | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | MIL | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | BOS | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | POR | -8 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  LAL | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | GS | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  DEN | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  NO | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 |  TOR | -5 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | TOR | -6 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | NY | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | MIN | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  OKC | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | NY | -6 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | MIA | 0 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  CHI | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | CHI | 0 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 |  SA | -13 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | CHA | -5 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | PHI | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | DET | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | WSH | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | DEN | 18 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  LAC | -6 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | DET | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | PHI | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | CLE | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | WSH | -22 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | CHA | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | NO | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | SA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | DET | -5 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | PHX | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | UTAH | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | SAC | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | LAC | -10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | LAL | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | TOR | 0 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | ORL | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | CLE | -9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | IND | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | BKN | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | CHI | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | OKC | -5 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | ORL | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | TOR | -2 | -7.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Atlanta Hawks in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.