This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 34% to break even | 5%–56% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 34% to break even | 7%–46% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 34% to break even | 17%–54% | evenwon 33%, needs 34% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 34% to break even | 27%–100% | 66 points betterwon 100%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 40 of 8845%needs 34% to break even | 37%–54% | 12 points betterwon 45%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 41 of 8946%needs 34% to break even | 38%–55% | 13 points betterwon 46%, needs 34% |
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ATL points in each game against over 119.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ATL points | Beat 119.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 132 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 89 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 97 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 98 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 109 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 107 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 102 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 124 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 116 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 105 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 141 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 130 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 112 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 123 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 102 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 130 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 146 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 126 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 95 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 135 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 124 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 122 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 108 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 124 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 125 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 131 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 135 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 126 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 119 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 115 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 97 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 107 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 116 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 119 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 121 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 127 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 124 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 86 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 132 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 110 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 124 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 110 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 106 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 101 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 116 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 124 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 110 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 100 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 111 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 126 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 129 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 125 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 111 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 123 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 150 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 98 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 126 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 120 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 115 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 131 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 133 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 92 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 98 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 142 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 130 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 113 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 113 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 115 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 126 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 112 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 124 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 132 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 133 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 105 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 122 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 97 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 127 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 109 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 128 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 123 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 100 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 111 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 118 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 109.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETCHA without White and Knueppel | +173at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 37% to break even | -5.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 111.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETCHA without White and Knueppel | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 113.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETCHA without White and Knueppel | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 115.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETCHA without White and Knueppel | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -21.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 117.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETCHA without White and Knueppel | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.