This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 68% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 68% to break even | 14%–73% | 28 points shortwon 40%, needs 68% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 68% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points shortwon 60%, needs 68% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 68% to break even | 46%–83% | 1 points shortwon 67%, needs 68% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 68% to break even | 0%–73% | 68 points shortwon 0%, needs 68% |
| Last season | 30 of 6844%needs 68% to break even | 35%–54% | 24 points shortwon 44%, needs 68% |
| Every game | 30 of 6943%needs 68% to break even | 34%–53% | 24 points shortwon 43%, needs 68% |
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 1 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 26 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 24 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 21 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 16 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 20 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 15 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 26 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 21 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 16 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | -175at DraftKings | 55 of 68· last season81%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | -123at DraftKings | 50 of 68· last season74%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 45 of 68· last season66%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 8.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | +155at Bovada | 38 of 68· last season56%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | +215at FanDuel | 36 of 68· last season53%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | +260at Caesars | 30 of 68· last season44%needs 28% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.