This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 32% to break even | 27%–86% | 28 points betterwon 60%, needs 32% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 32% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points betterwon 40%, needs 32% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 32% to break even | 17%–54% | 2 points betterwon 33%, needs 32% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 32% to break even | 27%–100% | 68 points betterwon 100%, needs 32% |
| Last season | 36 of 6853%needs 32% to break even | 43%–63% | 21 points betterwon 53%, needs 32% |
| Every game | 37 of 6954%needs 32% to break even | 44%–63% | 22 points betterwon 54%, needs 32% |
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 1 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 19 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 26 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 24 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 21 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 16 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 19 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 20 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 26 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 21 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 16 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | +145at Bovada | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 41% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at FanDuel | 18 of 68· last season26%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 7.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 60% to break even | -36.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 8.5 pointsJock Landale · Today 7:10 PM ET | -210at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 68% to break even | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.