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NBAPlayer propAssists
Jalen Johnson over 7.5 assists
Won39 of 81last season · 48%
Best price+134Kalshi
Price needs42.7%wins to break even
Every game39 of 82this season and last
Trend score-27.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 43% to break even | 2%–35% | 33 points shortwon 10%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 43% to break even | 8%–41% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 43% to break even | 0%–73% | 43 points shortwon 0%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 39 of 8148%needs 43% to break even | 39%–57% | 5 points betterwon 48%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 39 of 8248%needs 43% to break even | 39%–57% | 5 points betterwon 48%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jalen Johnson over 7.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ORL | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 |  NY | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | NY | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | NY | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | NY | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | NY | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | NY | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CLE | 2 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 | CLE | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | NY | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  BKN | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 | ORL | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  BOS | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  SAC | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | BOS | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  DET | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  HOU | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  DAL | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | ORL | 13 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  MIL | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | BKN | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | DAL | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  PHI | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | MIL | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  POR | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  WSH | 0 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | BKN | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  MIA | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | PHI | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 0 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  CHA | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | CHA | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  UTAH | 15 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | MIA | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 |  IND | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | BOS | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | IND | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  PHX | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 |  MEM | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | MIL | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | BOS | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | POR | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  LAL | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  GS | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  DEN | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  NO | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 |  TOR | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | TOR | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | NY | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  MIN | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | NY | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | MIA | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  CHI | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | CHI | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 |  SA | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | CHA | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | PHI | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | DET | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | WSH | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | DEN | 16 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | DET | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | PHI | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | CLE | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | WSH | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | CHA | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | NO | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | SA | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | DET | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | PHX | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | UTAH | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | SAC | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  LAC | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | TOR | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | ORL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | CLE | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | IND | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | BKN | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | CHI | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | ORL | 1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | TOR | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 assistsJalen Johnson · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  -191at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 66% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jalen Johnson in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pointsJalen Johnson · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 49 of 81· last season60%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 pointsJalen Johnson · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 32 of 81· last season40%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.